Oxidative-Stress Biomarkers and Pathologic Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study
Cancers, vol.18, no.12, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)
- Publication Type: Article / Article
- Volume: 18 Issue: 12
- Publication Date: 2026
- Doi Number: 10.3390/cancers18121939
- Journal Name: Cancers
- Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, BIOSIS, Chemical Abstracts Core, CINAHL, EMBASE, Academic Search Ultimate (EBSCO), Natural Science Collection (ProQuest), Biological Science Database (ProQuest), Biomedical Reference Collection: Corporate Edition (EBSCO)
- Keywords: chemoradiotherapy, ischemia-modified albümin (IMA), oxidative stress, rectal cancer, tumor regression
- Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt University Affiliated: Yes
Abstract
Background: Response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) varies considerably, and oxidative stress may modulate radiosensitivity. This study evaluated ischemia-modified albumin (IMA) and thiol–disulfide homeostasis as potential biochemical predictors of pathological tumor regression. Methods: A prospective observational cohort study was conducted to assess pre- and post-treatment oxidative stress biomarkers in patients with LARC receiving capecitabine-based long-course CRT. Serum IMA, native thiol, total thiol, and disulfide levels were quantified spectrophotometrically. Pathologic regression was graded according to the Modified Ryan system as good (TRG 0–1) or poor (TRG 2–3). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, Firth-penalized logistic regression, and internal validation using cross-validation, calibration, and decision-curve analyses were performed. Results: Of 38 screened patients, 31 met eligibility criteria and completed CRT, alongside 31 matched healthy controls. Compared with controls, patients had higher baseline disulfide (15.7 ± 5.2 vs. 11.9 ± 3.1 µmol/L; p = 0.012) and IMA levels (0.886 ± 0.062 vs. 0.798 ± 0.048 ABSU; p = 0.006). Poor responders exhibited higher pre-treatment IMA (0.927 ± 0.045 vs. 0.842 ± 0.050 ABSU; p = 0.020) and disulfide levels (18.4 ± 5.2 vs. 13.0 ± 3.8 µmol/L; p = 0.012). Pre-treatment IMA demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy for poor tumor regression (AUC = 0.872; 95% CI 0.751–0.993). In multivariable Firth-penalized logistic regression, elevated baseline IMA was independently associated with poor pathological response (OR = 3.63; 95% CI 1.22–16.20; p = 0.043), whereas negative circumferential resection margin (CRM) status was independently associated with favorable regression (OR = 0.21; 95% CI 0.02–0.71; p = 0.003). The internally validated model demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUC = 0.948; 95% CI 0.866–0.966) and good calibration. Conclusions: Baseline IMA and CRM status were independently associated with pathological response after CRT in LARC. These findings suggest that oxidative-stress biomarkers may have potential value for response stratification; however, the results should be considered exploratory and require external validation in larger independent cohorts before clinical application.