JOIV : INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL ON INFORMATICS VISUALIZATION, vol.8, no.3-2, pp.1791-1801, 2024 (Scopus)
This research proposes the use of the
fishbone diagram, a visualization tool for constructing a comprehensive
theoretical framework to analyze the sources of innovation. Traditionally
employed to identify causes of specific events, the fishbone diagram is here
applied innovatively to explore the root causes driving the emergence and
evolution of General Purpose Technologies (GPTs). The study identifies key
driving forces such as increased democratization, population growth,
demographic shifts, significant investments in research and development (R&D),
global leadership aspirations among major powers, competitive socioeconomic
environments, and potential threats from adversarial actors. By visually
representing these drivers, the fishbone diagram offers insights crucial for
technological analysis and foresight, illuminating groundbreaking innovations
that drive technological and economic progress. Illustrated through examples
from historical GPTs like the steam engine and contemporary technologies such
as Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), this study establishes a
foundational framework for developing precise hypotheses about the specific
causes and socio-economic impacts of GPTs. The fishbone diagram emerges as a
versatile tool adept at systematically analyzing the complex root causes
associated with GPTs, facilitating foresight and strategic management of these
transformative innovations within society.